Dawgs "Shaqle"  Buffs

Folsom Field, Boulder, Colorado. Behind Shaq Thompson's 215 all-purpose yards and 24-yard touchdown run, the Washington Huskies (6-3, 2-3 Pac-12) posted a 38-23 come-from-behind win to stomp, shackle and stymy the Colorado Buffaloes (2-7, 0-6), holding them to just three second half points.

The Seattle Times quoted Washington quarterback Cyler Miles as saying, "Same thing. We have to take care of the ball better. We are hurting ourselves. I think we had two red zone fumbles and one almost in the red zone so obviously that’s not acceptable at all.”

“I thought I did some good things. I thought I definitely need to take care of the ball. I thought I did a decent job and have a lot to work on like ball security. I could’ve hung in there a couple more times but I thought it was OK.”

The coup de grâce: Shaq Thompson.

The Good

-- Cyler Miles outstanding pass efficiency rating of 194.2
-- Shaq Thompson's 215 all-purpose yards and 24-yard touchdown run.
-- Bob Rondeau shouting out Hau'oli Kikaha's last name after a sack
-- Kikaha's one sack and 6 tackles; Sidney Jones had 12 tackles
-- Dawgs were flagged only three times for 24 yards
-- True freshman Dante Pettis' 28-yard touchdown catch and 87-yard punt return TD
-- Won offensive line efficiency: 306.463 to 194.593
-- Travis Fenney's 30-yard pick six
-- Three touchbacks out of 7 kickoffs
-- Scoreboard, Baby
-- Defense allowed just three points in second half.


The Bad


-- Three turnovers
-- Got off to a slow start, trailing 20-17 at half
-- Allowed 181 yards rushing
-- Converted only 2 of 11 third downs; Buffs were 11 of 21
-- Lost the time of possession: 35:04 to 24:56
-- Buffs had 495 total yards to 442 total yards for Huskies

-- Golden Buffaloes ran off 89 offensive plays to 59 for UW
-- Buffs 3 of 4 in red Zone; UW 2 of 4


The Ugly


-- Nada

The QB efficiency ratings on the game follow:

QB School PA C YDS I TD Eff. Rate
Sefu Liufau UC 52 36 314 1 2 128.8
Cyler Myles UW 19 13 206 0 2 194.2
               

Computing a hypothetical per game offensive line efficiency

Our hypothetical measure is a function of a team's passing efficiency rating, its rushing yards per carry, its rushing touchdowns, its offensive line's penalty yards and its sacks allowed. That is,

OLE = PEO + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Where PEO = pass-efficiency offense; YPC = yards per carry; x and y = normalizing numbers; RT = rushing touchdowns; OLPY = offensive line penalty yards; SA = Sacks Allowed

UW Offensive line efficiency = 194.2 + 5.9 * 20.57 + 5.9 - 10 - 5 = 306.463

CU Offensive line efficiency = 128.8 + 4.9 * 20.57 + 0 - 20 - 15 = 194.593

(*) The normalizing numbers X=20.57 and Y=5.09 were chosen so that YPC plus RT would be equivalent to a Passing Efficiency Rating of 100. X and Y are the averages for the Pac-12 stats involving YPC (X = 90/4.375) and RT (Y = 10/1.96) for the 2013 season. The numbers 90 and 10 were chosen so that YPC would have more weight in the computation than RT; the numbers 4.375 and 1.96 are the Pac-12 averages for YPC and RT. To guard against a meaningless rating resulting from a limited number of carries, the normalizing number x needs to be restricted. For one, if the number of carries is less than z then set x=1, with the value of z yet to be determined. Alternatively, the value of the factor ypc * x could be controlled in a similar way to the limits placed on the NFL's passer rating computation.

More specifically, the equation for OLE is a function of 10 metrics:

Pass attempts (PA)

Pass completions (PC)

Yards passing (TY)

Number of passing touchdowns (TD)

Number of interceptions (I)

Yards per carry (YPC; sack yardage figures into the calculation)

Rushing touchdowns (RT)

Offensive line penalty yards. (OLPY)

Sacks Allowed (SA)

The values for x and y (Pac-12 averages for the 2013 season)

The complete equation is as follows:

OLE = (TY*8.4+PC*100+TD*330-I*200)/PA + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Complete Statistics

Team 1 2 3 4 Total

Washington

7 10 14 7 38

Colorado

10 10 3 0 23

 

Category

UW

UC

1. Ball Control                                                                                 

Time of Poss.

24:56 35:04

3rd-down conversions

2-11 11-21

4th-down conversions

1-1 2-3

First downs

14 24
Total Offensive Plays  59 89

2. Blocking and Tackling

Rushing Offense

236 181

Passing Offense

206 314

Pass Eff Offense

194.2 128.8

Total Offense

442 495

Sacks By

3 1

3. Mistakes

Penalties

3-24 5-39

Turnovers

3 4

4. Field Position

Kickoff Returns

2-36-0 4-112-0

Punt Returns

3-96-1 2-6-0

Punting average per punt

44.2 44.0

Average Yards Per Kickoff

64.1 65.0

Net Yards Per Kickoff

37.4 42.3

Kickoff touchbacks

3 4

5. Scoreboard, Baby

Field Goals

1-1 3-3

Redzone Offense

2-4 3-4

Points For

38 23

 

 

Richard Linde can be reached at malamute@4malamute.com

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