OUT-PASSED, OUT-GAINED, BUT NOT OUT-SCORED

Clinging to a precarious 7-point lead with 3:14 left, the Washington Huskies ran the clock out, posting a 59-52 victory in a wild shootout against Eastern Washington at Husky Stadium, Seattle, Washington.

The Good

-- Won the Offensive Line Efficiency battle: 298.24 to 219.89, the most critical stat in the game
-- Danny Shelton registered 4 sacks and 12 tackles
-- No turnovers
-- Shaq Thompson registered 14 tackles and 1 sack. He carried the ball 3 times for 66 yds. and 1 TD
-- Lavon Coleman ran 17 times for 118 yards and 1 TD (6.99ypc)
-- Defense bent but didn't break
-- Held EWU to 98 yards rushing
-- The final drive, which ran the clock out with 3:14 remaining
-- Coach Peterson won his second game of the season, marking his at-home debut as UW coach
-- Won the turnover battle 2-0
-- UW QB Cyler Miles posted 4 TDs, passing for 1 and running for 3
-- Tristan Vizcaino posted 4 touchbacks on 10 kickoffs

-- Scoreboard, baby

The Bad

-- Failed to register an interception against 46 pass attempts
-- Gave up 7 touchdown passes, the most by a UW opponent
-- Penalized 10 times for 100 yards


The Ugly

-- Gave up 475 yards passing (third most in UW history) and 52 points

The QB efficiency ratings on the game follow:

QB School PA C YDS I TD Eff. Rate
Cyler Miles UW 24 14 180 0 1 135.08
Vernon Adams, Junior EWU 46 31 475 0 7 204.35
               

Computing a hypothetical per game offensive line efficiency

Our hypothetical measure is a function of a team's passing efficiency rating, its rushing yards per carry, its rushing touchdowns, its offensive line's penalty yards and its sacks allowed. That is,

OLE = PEO + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Where PEO = pass-efficiency offense; YPC = yards per carry; x and y = normalizing numbers; RT = rushing touchdowns; OLPY = offensive line penalty yards; SA = Sacks Allowed

UW Offensive line efficiency = 135.08 + 6.2*20.57 + 7*5.09 - 0 - 0 = 298.244

EWU  Offensive line efficiency = 204.35 + 2.7*20.57 + 0*5.09 - 10 - 30 = 219.889

(*) The normalizing numbers X=20.57 and Y=5.09 were chosen so that YPC plus RT would be equivalent to a Passing Efficiency Rating of 100. X and Y are the averages for the Pac-12 stats involving YPC (X = 90/4.375) and RT (Y = 10/1.96) for the 2013 season. The numbers 90 and 10 were chosen so that YPC would have more weight in the computation than RT; the numbers 4.375 and 1.96 are the Pac-12 averages for YPC and RT. To guard against a meaningless rating resulting from a limited number of carries, the normalizing number x needs to be restricted. For one, if the number of carries is less than z then set x=1, with the value of z yet to be determined. Alternatively, the value of the factor ypc * x could be controlled in a similar way to the limits placed on the NFL's passer rating computation.

More specifically, the equation for OLE is a function of 10 metrics:

Pass attempts (PA)

Pass completions (PC)

Yards passing (TY)

Number of passing touchdowns (TD)

Number of interceptions (I)

Yards per carry (YPC; sack yardage figures into the calculation)

Rushing touchdowns (RT)

Offensive line penalty yards. (OLPY)

Sacks Allowed (SA)

The values for x and y (Pac-12 averages for the 2013 season)

The complete equation is as follows:

OLE = (TY*8.4+PC*100+TD*330-I*200)/PA + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Complete Statistics

Team 1 2 3 4 Total

Eastern Washington

14 17 14 7 52

Washington

24 13 7 15 59

 

Area of concern

EWU

UW

1. Ball Control                                                                                 

Time of Poss.

32:22 27:38

3rd-down conversions

6 of 12 8 of 14

4th-down conversions

04 of 4 2 of 2

First downs

35 26
Total Offensive Plays  82 81

2. Blocking and Tackling

Rushing Offense

98 356

Passing Offense

475 180

Pass Eff Offense

204.35 135.08

Total Offense

573 536

Sacks By

0.0 6-27

3. Mistakes

Penalties

6-51 10-100

Turnovers

2 0

4. Field Position

Kickoff Returns

6-107-0 5-88-0

Punt Returns

1-0-0 1-3-0

Punting average per punt

52.0 36.0

Average Yards Per Kickoff

51.7 61.7

Net Yards Per Kickoff

35.6 41.0

Kickoff touchbacks

1 4

5. Scoreboard, Baby

Field Goals

1-1 1-1

Redzone Offense

3-3 7-7

Points For

52 59

 

 

Richard Linde can be reached at malamute@4malamute.com

Original content related to this site,
including editorials, photos
and exclusive materials
4malamute.com, 2001-2013
All Rights Reserved