OUTPLAYED, OUT-GAINED, BUT NOT OUT-SCORED

Clinging to a 17-16 lead with 2:40 left, the Washington Huskies ran the clock out, eking out a one-point victory over the Hawaiʻi Rainbow Warriors in a game played at Aloha Stadium, Honolulu, Hawaii.

The Good

-- Won the Offensive Line Efficiency battle: 177.63 to 155.58
-- John Ross's TD reception of 91 yards was the second longest in Husky history
-- No turnovers
-- Korey Durkee averaged 42.5 yards per punt
-- Lavon Coleman ran 17 times for 78 yards (4.6 ypc)
-- Defense bent but didn't break
-- John Ross's 198 all-purpose yards
-- The final drive, which ran the clock out
-- Coach Peterson won his first game, in his debut as UW coach
-- Scoreboard, baby

The Bad

-- Jeff Lindquist's pass-efficiency rating of 103.49 (completed 38% of his passes)
-- Only 74 offensive plays

The Ugly

-- Gave up 217 yards rushing
-- Scoring just 17 points; a mediocre scoring offense won't hack it in the Pac-12

The QB efficiency ratings on the game follow:

QB School PA C YDS I TD Eff. Rate
Jeff Lindquist UW 26 10 162 0 1 103.49
Ikaika Woolsey UH 42 23 207 0 0 96.6
Marcus Kemp UH 1 0 0 0 0 0.0

Computing a hypothetical per game offensive line efficiency

Our hypothetical measure is a function of a team's passing efficiency rating, its rushing yards per carry, its rushing touchdowns and its offensive line's penalty yards. That is,

OLE = PEO + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Where PEO = pass-efficiency offense; YPC = yards per carry; x and y = normalizing numbers; RT = rushing touchdowns; OLPY = offensive line penalty yards; SA = Sacks Allowed

UW Offensive line efficiency = 103.49 + 3.6*20.57 + 1*5.09 - 0 - 5 = 177.63

UH  Offensive line efficiency = 93.3 + 4.0*20.57 + 1*5.09 - 10 - 15 = 155.58

(*) The normalizing numbers X=20.57 and Y=5.09 were chosen so that YPC plus RT would be equivalent to a Passing Efficiency Rating of 100. X and Y are the averages for the Pac-12 stats involving YPC (X = 90/4.375) and RT (Y = 10/1.96) for the 2013 season. The numbers 90 and 10 were chosen so that YPC would have more weight in the computation than RT; the numbers 4.375 and 1.96 are the Pac-12 averages for YPC and RT. To guard against a meaningless rating resulting from a limited number of carries, the normalizing number x needs to be restricted. For one, if the number of carries is less than z then set x=1, with the value of z yet to be determined. Alternatively, the value of the factor ypc * x could be controlled in a similar way to the limits placed on the NFL's passer rating computation.

More specifically, the equation for OLE is a function of 10 metrics:

Pass attempts (PA)

Pass completions (PC)

Yards passing (TY)

Number of passing touchdowns (TD)

Number of interceptions (I)

Yards per carry (YPC; sack yardage figures into the calculation)

Rushing touchdowns (RT)

Offensive line penalty yards. (OLPY)

Sacks Allowed (SA)

The values for x and y (Pac-12 averages for the 2013 season)

The complete equation is as follows:

OLE = (TY*8.4+PC*100+TD*330-I*200)/PA + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Complete Statistics

Team 1 2 3 4 Total

Washington

7 10 0 0 17

U of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa

10 0 3 3 16

 

Area of concern

UW

UH

1. Ball Control                                                                                 

Time of Poss.

25:49 34:11

3rd-down conversions

5 of 15 10 of 23

4th-down conversions

0 of 0 1 of 2

First downs

19 26

2. Blocking and Tackling

Rushing Offense

174 217

Passing Offense

162 207

Pass Eff Offense

103.49 93.3

Total Offense

336 424

Sacks By

3-10 1-16

3. Mistakes

Penalties

5-35 5-36

Turnovers

0 0

4. Field Position

Kickoff Returns

3-82-0 4-86-0

Punt Returns

2--1-0 2-8-0

Punting average per punt

41.3 41.7

Average Yards Per Kickoff

62.0 64.4

Net Yards Per Kickoff

40.5 38,0

Kickoff touchbacks

0 2

5. Scoreboard, Baby

Field Goals

1-1 3-4

Redzone Offense

2-2 4-5

Points For

17 16

 

 

Richard Linde can be reached at malamute@4malamute.com

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