Dawgs "Miles" ahead of Beavers

Husky Stadium, Seattle, Washington. Cyler Miles passed for two touchdowns and 253 yards, with a pass efficiency rating of 199.36, in Washington's 37-13 victory over Oregon State on Saturday night.

Last week against Arizona, defeat was snatched so quickly from the jaws of victory that it felt like I had just dropped my iPhone 6 Plus, which, by the way, is a whale of a phone.

This week the whale is no longer blubbering -- resting snugly in my shirt pocket -- as Washington (7-5, 3-5 Pac-12) became bowl eligible, to the chagrin of the Beavers, who need  to beat Oregon next week to assume bowl elgibility. Which all means you need to play with your iPhone 6 Plus using two hands, lest you fumble it, and carry it in your shirt pocket, lest you bend it.

“I’m really proud of the guys,’’ The Seattle Times quoted UW coach Chris Petersen as saying. “They came back after a hard loss and didn’t flinch. They got better, played hard for each other, for the seniors and for the fans. It was a good solid victory.

“Sometimes the kids are more resilient than the coaches and the fans.”

The coup de grâce: a big play night; all four of UW’s touchdowns came on plays of 36 yards or more.

The Good

-- Won OL efficiency battle 301.425 to 143.7
-- Out-rushed OSU 226 yards to 47 yards
-- Out-gained OSU 481 yards to 361 yards
-- Pass efficiency rating of 195.2 to 132.56
-- Cyler Miles passed for 253 yards with a PE 199.36
-- Jaydon Mickens 54 yd pass from Miles
-- Mickens 36-yard TD run
-- Made 7 of 13 third down conversions
-- Darrel Daniels 68 yard TD pass from Miles
-- Dwayne Washington had 14 carries for 100 yards (7.1 ypc) and 68-yard TD run
-- Registered 4 sacks
-- Cameron Van Winkle 3 for 3 Field Goals (of 34, 41, 26 yards)
-- Scoreboard, Baby


The Bad


-- Four fumbles, one lost
-- Seven kickoffs, only one touchback
-- UW leads FBS in fumbles

The Ugly


-- Nada

The QB efficiency ratings on the game follow:

QB School PA C YDS I TD Eff. Rate
Deontae Cooper UW 1 1 2 0 0 116.9
Cyler Miles UW 23 18 253 0 2 199.4
Sean Mannion OSU 46 30 314 1 2 132.6
               
               
               

Computing a hypothetical per game offensive line efficiency

Our hypothetical measure is a function of a team's passing efficiency rating, its rushing yards per carry, its rushing touchdowns, its offensive line's penalty yards and its sacks allowed. That is,

OLE = PEO + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Where PEO = pass-efficiency offense; YPC = yards per carry; x and y = normalizing numbers; RT = rushing touchdowns; OLPY = offensive line penalty yards; SA = Sacks Allowed

UW Offensive line efficiency = 195.92 + 6.5 * 20.57 + 2 * 5.9 - 35 -5 = 301.425

OSU  Offensive line efficiency = 132.56 + 2.0 * 20.57 + 0*5.9 - 10 - 20 = 143.7

(*) The normalizing numbers X=20.57 and Y=5.09 were chosen so that YPC plus RT would be equivalent to a Passing Efficiency Rating of 100. X and Y are the averages for the Pac-12 stats involving YPC (X = 90/4.375) and RT (Y = 10/1.96) for the 2013 season. The numbers 90 and 10 were chosen so that YPC would have more weight in the computation than RT; the numbers 4.375 and 1.96 are the Pac-12 averages for YPC and RT. To guard against a meaningless rating resulting from a limited number of carries, the normalizing number x needs to be restricted. For one, if the number of carries is less than z then set x=1, with the value of z yet to be determined. Alternatively, the value of the factor ypc * x could be controlled in a similar way to the limits placed on the NFL's passer rating computation.

More specifically, the equation for OLE is a function of 10 metrics:

Pass attempts (PA)

Pass completions (PC)

Yards passing (TY)

Number of passing touchdowns (TD)

Number of interceptions (I)

Yards per carry (YPC; sack yardage figures into the calculation)

Rushing touchdowns (RT)

Offensive line penalty yards. (OLPY)

Sacks Allowed (SA)

The values for x and y (Pac-12 averages for the 2013 season)

The complete equation is as follows:

OLE = (TY*8.4+PC*100+TD*330-I*200)/PA + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Complete Statistics

Team 1 2 3 4 Total

Oregon State

0 7 6 0 13

Washington

14 3 6 14 37

 

Category

OSU

UW

1. Ball Control                                                                                 

Time of Poss.

32:22 27:38

3rd-down conversions

9 of 18 7 of 13

4th-down conversions

0-2 0-0

First downs

17 16
Total Offensive Plays  69 59

2. Blocking and Tackling

Rushing Offense

47 226

Passing Offense

314 255

Pass Eff Offense

132.56 195.9

Total Offense

361 481

Sacks By

1 4

3. Mistakes

Penalties

5-55 6-60

Turnovers

1 1

4. Field Position

Kickoff Returns

7-139-0 3-82-0

Punt Returns

0-0-0 4-10-0

Punting average per punt

42.6 44.3

Average Yards Per Kickoff

63.3 58.8

Net Yards Per Kickoff

36.0 38.2

Kickoff touchbacks

0 1

5. Scoreboard, Baby

Field Goals

0-0 3-3

Redzone Offense

2-4 2-2

Points For

13 37

 

 

Richard Linde can be reached at malamute@4malamute.com

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