"Mora" of the Same

Husky Stadium, Seattle, Washington. Brett Hundley threw for two touchdowns, ran for two more scores and Myles Jack added a touchdown run in No. 18 UCLA's 44-30 win over Washington on Saturday night. UW's Shaq Thompson ran for 100 yards, averaging 6.2 yards per carry, and John Ross ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a score.

The Seattle Times quoted Washington coach Chris Peterson as saying, "Well, the first half was extraordinarily disappointing. UCLA’s good and they were able to bring their ‘A’ game and we certainly did not bring ours. And then once we got embarrassed a little bit there, we go into the locker room and kind of adjust ourselves a little bit and we can do some things. … We gotta get everybody up to speed as fast as we can and we’ve got to compete harder all the time. I thought they did a really good job in the second half. We’ve just got to do a better job in that first. It’s a four-quarter game, and if we get behind too far it’s tough sledding to get back up.”

The coup de grâce: The dismissal of Marcus Peters and the injury to Hau'oli Kikaha

The Good

-- Shaq Thompson ran for 100 yards, averaging 6.2 yards per carry
-- John Ross's 207 all-purpose yards and 100-yard kickoff return for a score.
-- Bob Rondeau's raised-voiced pronunciation of Hau'oli Kikaha's last name after a Kikaha sack
-- Kikaha's one sack
-- Cyler Miles ran for 62 yards and scored one  touchdown
-- Outscored UCLA 20-13 in second half
-- Three for three on field goals, 47 long
-- Rushed for 211 yards.


The Bad


-- Lost offensive line efficiency: 265.55 to 166.51
-- No touchbacks on 6 kickoffs; averaged 50.7 yards per kickoff
-- Allowed 174 yards rushing and 3 rushing touchdowns
-- Converted only 5 of 13 third downs; Bruins were 8 of 14
-- Lost the time of possession: 30:40 to 29:20
-- Miles' PE of 104.2 is a reflection of poor pass blocking
-- Bruins had 476 total yards to 336 total yards for Huskies

-- Penalized 7 times for 65 yards
-- Dawgs 0-2 against coach Jim Mora, i. e., hence, our headline: "'Mora' of the same."


The Ugly


-- Scoreboard, Baby

The QB efficiency ratings on the game follow:

QB School PA C YDS I TD Eff. Rate
Brett Hundley UCLA 36 29 302 0 2 169.4
Cyler Miles UW 24 14 206 1 0 104.2
               

Computing a hypothetical per game offensive line efficiency

Our hypothetical measure is a function of a team's passing efficiency rating, its rushing yards per carry, its rushing touchdowns, its offensive line's penalty yards and its sacks allowed. That is,

OLE = PEO + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Where PEO = pass-efficiency offense; YPC = yards per carry; x and y = normalizing numbers; RT = rushing touchdowns; OLPY = offensive line penalty yards; SA = Sacks Allowed

UW Offensive line efficiency = 104.2 + 4.4 * 20.57 + 2 * 5.9 - 25 -15 = 166.51

UCLA Offensive line efficiency = 169.4 + 4.3 * 20.57 + 3*5.9 - 5 - 5 = 265.55

(*) The normalizing numbers X=20.57 and Y=5.09 were chosen so that YPC plus RT would be equivalent to a Passing Efficiency Rating of 100. X and Y are the averages for the Pac-12 stats involving YPC (X = 90/4.375) and RT (Y = 10/1.96) for the 2013 season. The numbers 90 and 10 were chosen so that YPC would have more weight in the computation than RT; the numbers 4.375 and 1.96 are the Pac-12 averages for YPC and RT. To guard against a meaningless rating resulting from a limited number of carries, the normalizing number x needs to be restricted. For one, if the number of carries is less than z then set x=1, with the value of z yet to be determined. Alternatively, the value of the factor ypc * x could be controlled in a similar way to the limits placed on the NFL's passer rating computation.

More specifically, the equation for OLE is a function of 10 metrics:

Pass attempts (PA)

Pass completions (PC)

Yards passing (TY)

Number of passing touchdowns (TD)

Number of interceptions (I)

Yards per carry (YPC; sack yardage figures into the calculation)

Rushing touchdowns (RT)

Offensive line penalty yards. (OLPY)

Sacks Allowed (SA)

The values for x and y (Pac-12 averages for the 2013 season)

The complete equation is as follows:

OLE = (TY*8.4+PC*100+TD*330-I*200)/PA + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA

Complete Statistics

Team 1 2 3 4 Total

UCLA

14 17 10 3 44

Washington

3 7 10 10 30

 

Category

UCLA

UW

1. Ball Control                                                                                 

Time of Poss.

30:40 29:20

3rd-down conversions

8 of 14 5 of 13

4th-down conversions

0 of 0 1 of 1

First downs

28 22
Total Offensive Plays  77 72

2. Blocking and Tackling

Rushing Offense

174 211

Passing Offense

302 133

Pass Eff Offense

169.4 104.2

Total Offense

476 366

Sacks By

3 1

3. Mistakes

Penalties

4-37 7-65

Turnovers

0 1

4. Field Position

Kickoff Returns

6-105-0 6-207-1

Punt Returns

3-29-0 1-5-0

Punting average per punt

36.0 47.5

Average Yards Per Kickoff

63.8 50.7

Net Yards Per Kickoff

31.6 33.2

Kickoff touchbacks

2 0

5. Scoreboard, Baby

Field Goals

3-3 3-3

Redzone Offense

6-6 4-4

Points For

44 30

 

 

Richard Linde can be reached at malamute@4malamute.com

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