BROWNING OUTSTANDING, RUN SUPPORT SHAKY
The following grades the Huskies' positional
effort for the game against Utah State.
Click on this link for the statistics:
Stats Utah State Game
Quarterback; Grade A -- Once
again Coach Chris Peterson gave true freshman Jake Browning the keys to his
brand new 2015 Dawgmobile; he drove it with precision, accuracy and poise,
with just one hiccup.
Browning completed 22 of 31 passes for 368 yards, three touchdowns and
one pick, his efficiency rating being an outstanding 185.52. His PE on the
season is 160.0, a number that ranks fourth in the conference.
Throwing for 368 yards was the
most ever by a Washington freshman and 11th most in school history.
"I'll tell you, he's doing a good job. ... It's a little bit like that
teacher that's one step ahead of the student a little bit. We throw a lot at
him, and he's got a lot on his plate and every now and again, something will
show up," Washington coach Chris Petersen was quoted as saying. "But it is
amazing. We won't slow down because of him."
In an article by
Jeff Faraudo [Far] appearing in the San Jose Mercury News, he quotes Troy
Taylor, Browning's coach at Folsom High, as saying "He's got the same
quality as Jared (Goff) and Aaron Rogers and all the great ones -- the
ability to feel the pocket and make minor adjustments and still keep your
focus and throw it accurately."
According to Faraudo's article, Taylor
..."began coaching Browning as a 10-year old, and said he showed promising
traits early. Browning has great focus, deflects attention to his teammates
and maintains a calm disposition -- all qualities that Goff also boasts."
Offensive Line; Grade
The Huskies Offensive Line Efficiency rating was 219.11 compared to the
Aggies' 133.96. Whoever wins this stat usually wins the game. The OL is the
most important positional unit on the team, which is why this stat tracks
with wins and losses. (See the calculation below).
The Dawgs rushing
numbers were paltry, just 74 yards; the running game averaged an anemic 2.1 yards per
carry. Stats like these prophesy a dooms day scenario for UW's PAC-12
schedule, which starts with Cal next Saturday.
One positive note: the
UW OL has had just one false start so far this season, and that was at BSU
early in the game.
Pass Receivers: Grade A:
368 yards passing,16.7 yards per completion, and 3 passing touchdowns are
impressive. Browning spread the wealth around, finding 7 different receivers.
Carriers; Grade D minus: Only 74 yards rushing, averaging 2.1 YPC
won't cut it in the PAC-12.
Special Teams: Grade A - minus: UW had
touchbacks out of 6 kickoffs, averaging 64.3 yards per kickoff, while
netting 35.5 yards. The Dawgs averaged 52.5 yards per punt and downed 1
inside the 20. Tristan Vizcaino's TD run off a fake field goal attempt was
one of the highlights of the game, that along with Dwayne Washington's 81-yard
touchdown on a pass from Browning.
Defense; Grade B Plus: The defense yielded just 254 total yards and held the Aggies to
rushing. The defense limited starting QB Chuckie Keeton to a less-than
satisfactory PE of 85.51. On the negative side, the pass rushers failed to sack Keeton; a less
than adequate pass rush could turn into a major problem in PAC-12 play. UW
has registered just three sacks in three games, while giving up six.
Coaching; Grade A minus:
A win is a win.
[Far] Faraudo, Jeff, "Goff gets passing
grade from alum, " San Jose Mercury News, 23 Sep 2015
Computing a hypothetical per
game offensive line efficiency
Our hypothetical measure is a function of a team's
passing efficiency rating, its rushing yards per carry, its rushing touchdowns, its offensive line's penalty yards
and its sacks allowed. That is,
OLE = PEO + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA
Where PEO = pass-efficiency offense; YPC = yards per carry; x
and y = normalizing numbers; RT = rushing touchdowns; OLPY = offensive line penalty yards;
SA = Sacks Allowed
In the game against Utah State, the OLE's
UW Offensive line efficiency = 185.82 + 2.1*20.57 +
1*5.09 - 10 - 5 * 1 = 219.11.
Utah State Offensive line efficiency = 85.51 +
2.8*20.57 + 1*5.09 - 15 - 5 * 0 = 133.96
(*) The normalizing numbers X=20.57 and Y=5.09
were chosen so that YPC plus RT would be
equivalent to a Passing Efficiency Rating of 100. X and Y are the averages for
the Pac-12 stats involving YPC (X = 90/4.375) and RT (Y = 10/1.96) for the 2013
season. The numbers 90 and 10 were chosen so that YPC would have more weight in
the computation than RT; the numbers 4.375 and 1.96 are the Pac-12 averages for
YPC and RT. To guard against a meaningless
rating resulting from a limited number of carries, the normalizing number x
needs to be restricted. For one, if the number of carries
is less than z then set x=1, with the value of z yet to be determined. Alternatively, the
value of the factor ypc * x could be controlled in a similar way to the limits placed on the
NFL's passer rating computation.
More specifically, the equation
for OLE is a function of 10 metrics:
Pass attempts (PA)
Pass completions (PC)
Yards passing (TY)
Number of passing
Number of interceptions (I)
Yards per carry (YPC; sack
yardage figures into the calculation)
Rushing touchdowns (RT)
Offensive line penalty
Sacks allowed (SA)
The values for x and y
(Pac-12 averages for the 2013 season)
The complete equation is as
(TY*8.4+PC*100+TD*330-I*200)/PA + YPC * X + RT * Y - OLPY - 5 * SA
Note that this hypothetical computation
correlates with UW's won/lost record (9-4) for the 2013 season, with UW
dominating the statistic in its 9 wins and losing the stat in its 4 losses.