Dawgs Dapple White Clad Cougs
The following grades the Huskies' positional effort for the game against the
twentieth ranked Washington State Cougars. UW won the game 45-10.
But first let me get my two
Led by Myles Gaskin's 138 yards rushing and two touchdowns
and the trio of Sidney Jones, Darren Gardenhire and Azeem Victor all
returning turnovers for touchdowns in the second half, the Huskies, besides
winning the scoreboard, thoroughly dominated the statistics, e.g.,
Possession Time 37:28 to 22:32, Total Yards 443 to 319, and OL Efficiency
261.04 to 160.22.
Holding in check the best passing game in the
country, the Huskies (6-6, 4-5 Pac-12) took advantage of seven turnovers and
became bowl eligible by winning their sixth Apple Cup out of the last seven
The absence of starting quarterback Luke
Falk who suffered an apparent concussion last week against Colorado had to
hurt the Cougars immeasurably. Redshirt freshman Peyton Bender, making the
first start of his career, passed for 288 yards and a touchdown and two
picks. He had both of his interceptions returned for scores and on the game
posted an anemic passing efficiency of 102.57. Falk ended the regular season
with a PE of 148.8, a number that ranks fifth best in the Pac-12.
Huskies lead the conference In Total Defense, Scoring Defense, and Red zone
Click on this link for the statistics
Stats Washington State Game
Quarterback; Grade A Plus -- True
Freshman Jake Browning completed 14 of 20 passes for 203 yards; he had one
Jake's pass efficiency on the evening was a credible 145.26; his PE on the season stands
at 139.9, which ranks seventh in the conference.
Offensive Line; Grade
A: The Huskies Offensive Line Efficiency rating was 261.04 compared
to the Cougars' 160.22. Whoever wins this stat usually wins the game. The OL is the
most important positional unit on the team, which is why this stat tracks
with wins and losses. (See the calculation below).
Pass Receivers: Grade
a: 203 yards passing, 14.5 yards per completion, with a mix of 6
different receivers, seemed adequate enough.
Carriers; Grade A: The Dawgs posted 240 yards rushing, averaging
4.4 yards per carry. Myles Gaskin ran 32 times for 138 yards, averaging 4.3
yards per carry.
Special Teams: Grade B: Tristan
Vizcaino kicked off eight times, averaging 60.0 yards per kickoff. Korey Durkey punted
three times, averaging 36.0 yards per punt, with two inside the twenty.
Cameron Van Winkle booted one field goal from 24 yards out and missed on a
33-yard attempt. Viscaino missed a 36-yard field goal attempt.
Defense; Grade A:
The defense yielded 319 total yards. Jones and Victor returned interceptions
for touchdowns, and Gardenshire returned a fumble for a score.
Coaching; Grade A: From Hamlet, William Shakespeare:
"What a piece of
work is a man! How noble in reason, how infinite in faculty! In form and
moving how express and admirable! In action how like an angel, in
apprehension how like a god! The beauty of the world. The paragon of
animals. And yet, to me, what is this quintessence of dust? Man delights not
me. No, nor woman neither, though by your smiling you seem to say so."
Computing a hypothetical per
game offensive line efficiency
Our hypothetical measure is a function of a team's
passing efficiency rating, its rushing yards per carry, its rushing touchdowns,
its third-down conversions; its number of offensive plays; its offensive line's penalty yards
and its sacks allowed. That is,
OLE = PEO + YPC * X + RT * Y + TDC * NOP - OLPY - 5 * SA
Where PEO = pass-efficiency offense; YPC = yards per carry; x
and y = normalizing numbers; RT = rushing touchdowns; TDC = third-down
conversions; NOP = number of offensive plays; OLPY = offensive line penalty yards;
SA = Sacks Allowed
In the game against WSU, the OLE's
UW Offensive line efficiency = 145.26 + 4.4 *20.57 +
3*5.09 + 75 * 7/15 - 15 - 5 * 2 = 261.04
WSU Offensive line efficiency = 102.57 + 2.6*20.57 +
0*5.09 + 70* 5/12 - 10 - 5 * 3 = 160.22
(*) The normalizing numbers X=20.57 and Y=5.09
were chosen so that YPC plus RT would be
equivalent to a Passing Efficiency Rating of 100. X and Y are the averages for
the Pac-12 stats involving YPC (X = 90/4.375) and RT (Y = 10/1.96) for the 2013
season. The numbers 90 and 10 were chosen so that YPC would have more weight in
the computation than RT; the numbers 4.375 and 1.96 are the Pac-12 averages for
YPC and RT. To guard against a meaningless
rating resulting from a limited number of carries, the normalizing number x
needs to be restricted. For one, if the number of carries
is less than z then set x=1, with the value of z yet to be determined. Alternatively, the
value of the factor yuck * x could be controlled in a similar way to the limits placed on the
NFL's passer rating computation.
More specifically, the equation
for OLE is a function of 12 metrics:
Pass attempts (PA)
Pass completions (PC)
Yards passing (TY)
Number of passing
Number of interceptions (I)
Yards per carry (YPC; sack
yardage figures into the calculation)
Rushing touchdowns (RT)
Third-down conversions (TDC)
Number of offensive plays (NOP)
Offensive line penalty
Sacks allowed (SA)
The values for x and y
(Pac-12 averages for the 2013 season)
The complete equation is as
(TY*8.4+PC*100+TD*330-I*200)/PA + YPC * X + RT * Y + TDC * NOP - OLPY - 5 * SA
Note that this hypothetical computation
correlates with UW's won/lost record (9-4) for the 2013 season, with UW
dominating the statistic in its 9 wins and losing the stat in its 4 losses.
Richard Linde can be reached at
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